Best FTSE buy for April: Diageo or Unilever?

These two FTSE giants have seen their share prices hit by slowing sales growth since late 2022. But which stock would I buy today for the long run?

| More on:
Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

With the 2024/25 tax year arriving on 6 April, UK investors have a whole new set of tax allowances. Hence, I’ve been reviewing FTSE shares that my wife and I might add to our family portfolio.

Global value shares look tempting

When I look at US stocks, I see highly priced companies trading at record levels. With the S&P 500 leaping 26.6% over 12 months, finding deep value among American corporations isn’t easy.

Meanwhile, the UK’s FTSE 100 looks very undervalued, both in historical and geographical terms. For me today, the Footsie is a target-rich environment for finding value shares to produce decent future returns.

Ideally, I’m after solid, established businesses trading on reasonable multiples of earnings and paying cash dividends to patient shareholders. For example, take these two global Goliaths, which have seen their share prices weaken over the past year.

1. Diageo

Diageo (LSE: DGE) is a leading purveyor of alcoholic drinks, including best-selling brands Smirnoff vodka, Gordon’s gin, Johnnie Walker whisky, Guinness stout, and Baileys Irish cream.

Formed in 1997 by the merger of Guinness and Grand Metropolitan, Diageo has been a FTSE 100 stalwart for decades and is one of its 10 largest members today.

Here are Diageo’s fundamentals, based on the current share price of 2,829.5p:

Market cap£63bn
FTSE ranking#8
Earnings multiple20.3
Earnings yield4.9%
Dividend yield2.9%
Dividend cover1.7

However, the shares currently trade on a multiple of over 20 times earnings, due to falling sales in the Caribbean and Latin America. This has dragged their earnings yield below 5%, such that the dividend yield is covered only 1.7 times by historic earnings.

This growth stutter has sent Diageo’s share price diving 22.3% over one year and 9.1% lower over five years. However, these returns exclude dividends, which climbed by a sixth (16.7%) from 2019 to 2023.

At its 52-week high, the share price briefly touched 3,779.5p on 25 April 2023, but now stands 950p (-25.1%) lower. To me, Diageo stock looks oversold — which is why my wife and I own it, paying 2,806.6p a share in December 2023.

Of course, Diageo’s sales growth could slow even further, hitting revenues, profits, and cash flow. However, I’m not worried about short-term price volatility, as we are playing the long game.

2. Unilever

As one of the world’s largest FMCG (fast-moving consumer goods) companies, multinational Unilever (LSE: ULVR) is a global beast. Remarkably, more than 3.4bn people worldwide use its products daily. Indeed, when I look in my kitchen cupboards and bathroom cabinets, I see plenty of its brands.

Here are Unilever’s fundamentals, based on a share price of 3,819p:

Market cap£95.7bn
FTSE ranking#4
Earnings multiple17.4
Earnings yield5.8%
Dividend yield3.9%
Dividend cover1.5

Looking at the above figures, I see that Unilever is bigger than Diageo and has a better earnings yield. However, its higher dividend yield of nearly 4% a year is covered only 1.5 times by trailing earnings.

Notably, Unilever’s yearly cash payout rose by just 4.2% between 2019 and 2023. And like Diageo, sales growth has slowed markedly since end-2022. Even so, I’d buy Unilever stock over Diageo’s, partly because young adults are drinking less alcohol nowadays.

That said, as we already own both consumer stocks, we need take no further action!

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Cliff D’Arcy has an economic interest in Diageo and Unilever shares. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Diageo and Unilever. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services, such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool, we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

Up 37% in 2024, the Barclays share price is thrashing the market!

The Barclays share price has soared almost 50% since bottoming out on 13 February. At long last, this stock is…

Read more »

Smiling young man sitting in cafe and checking messages, with his laptop in front of him.
Investing Articles

Apple just announced a share buyback bigger than most FTSE companies

Apple has become so dominant and cash generative that its Q2 share buyback was larger than nearly every company in…

Read more »

Young black man looking at phone while on the London Overground
Investing Articles

I love the look of this FTSE 100 giant

I'm always on the hunt for investments that look like a bargain, and I haven't been this interested in a…

Read more »

The Troat Inn on River Cherwell in Oxford. England
Investing Articles

This unloved UK stock could rise 38%, according to a City broker

This UK stock has fallen from £30 in 2019 to just £11.50 today. But analysts at Deutsche Bank think it…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Up 10% in a day! Is this the start of a rally for this FTSE 100 stock?

It’s not every day that a share on the FTSE 100 jumps 10%. This Fool is on a mission to…

Read more »

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

Why I’d ignore Nvidia and buy this AI growth share

Nvidia stock looks massively overvalued, according to our Foolish writer Royston Wild. He'd rather invest in other AI growth shares…

Read more »

Frustrated young white male looking disconsolate while sat on his sofa holding a beer
Investing For Beginners

Down 14% in a month, this well-known FTSE 250 stock could keep falling fast

Jon Smith explains why recent results show an ongoing transformation for this FTSE 250 stock, but one he feels won't…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

Yielding 9.3%, are abrdn shares a good buy for passive income in 2024?

abrdn shares have fallen significantly and currently offer a gigantic dividend yield. Is this a great income investing opportunity?

Read more »