After a 10% drop in price, is this star high-yield stock a bargain now?

A renewed focus on improving core business profitability and delivering increased shareholder returns means for me this high-yield stock may be a bargain.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

The Milky Way at night, over Porthgwarra beach in Cornwall

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The British insurer and asset manager Aviva (LSE: AV) has long been a high-yield stock star in the FTSE 100. With a 12% drop in share price this year at the time of writing, its yield appeal has increased significantly. For me, though, the attractiveness of the shares has also been boosted by two other key factors.

Renewed focus on core businesses

The first of these is Aviva’s focus on its core businesses to keep costs under control as inflation remains high. In the 2022 results, chief executive officer Amanda Blanc highlighted that the company’s structure had been “radically simplified”.

The focus has been on increasing wealth fund flows into the UK, Ireland and Canada general insurance businesses. And this has paid off so far.

In 2022, Aviva’s life insurance new business increased by 15% in value from 2021 and general insurance sales went up 8%. Its general insurance written premiums increased 8% to £9.7bn. Operating profit was also up — a whopping 35% — despite difficult financial market conditions following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Much of this reflects continued growth in customer numbers, which in the UK increased to 15.5m in 2022.  

At the same time, Aviva continues to look to sell off its non-core business assets. Since Blanc took over in 2020, eight non-core businesses have been sold in Singapore, Italy, France, Poland, and Turkey. Overall, around £7.5bn has been raised to date through these sales.  

Major growth in the pensions business

A key area targeted by Aviva for major future growth is the surge in demand for pension scheme buyouts. This is where companies with (very expensive) defined benefit pension schemes sell them on to other providers, such as Aviva.

In 2022, Aviva made 50 such bulk annuity deals worth £4bn in total. In February this year, it completed an £850m pension scheme deal for Arcadia Group. Overall, Aviva expects to finalise between £15-20bn worth of these deals by 2024.

What’s important for me is that Aviva has not just cut costs and focused on core businesses. It has also been careful to look after its shareholders.

High rate of return for shareholders

In its 2022 results announcement, Aviva declared a final dividend of 20.7p per share. This meant a total ordinary dividend of 31.0p per share for 2022. The company also announced an additional return to shareholders through a £300m share buyback. This takes the total capital return to shareholders to over £5bn since 2021. Overall, it means that Aviva offers one of the strongest rates of return in its sector, at around 10%.

The key risk for me is that inflation remains high in the UK and Aviva’s other core markets. Higher inflation means will it pays out more in insurance claims. Aviva already increased its insurance premiums by 5% earlier this year to try to offset higher inflation. Last year, it increased its motor insurance premiums by an average of 20% and its home insurance premiums by 13%. With rising premiums, there is a danger of customers switching to other providers.

This said, I think inflation is at or near its peak in Aviva’s core markets. I also think Aviva’s pensions business will offset some, or all, of any slide in its insurance business.

Consequently, I am looking to buy Aviva shares on any further significant price dips.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Simon Watkins has no position in Aviva. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Marks and Spencer’s share price rises almost 10% on results day – should I buy?

Adjusted earnings up 45% -- no wonder the Marks and Spencer share price is flying. But there may be much…

Read more »

The words "what's your plan for retirement" written on chalkboard on pavement somewhere in London
Investing Articles

2 UK shares I’d buy and hold in a Stocks and Shares ISA for the long term

Harvey Jones is keen to start using this year's Stocks and Shares ISA allowance. These two FTSE 100 companies are…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If I’d invested £10,000 in BT shares 5 years ago, here’s how much passive income I’d have now!

Dividend investing can be a game changer for passive income, but how would an investment in BT have performed over…

Read more »

Affectionate Asian senior mother and daughter using smartphone together at home, smiling joyfully
Investing Articles

The Vodafone share price is only 75p. I think it could go much higher

The Vodafone share price has had a horrible five years. But if the firm's new shake-up works out well, it…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How I’d look for cheap shares to buy for an empty ISA, before it’s too late

With the Footsie rising, there are fewer dirt cheap shares around. I want to buy as many as I can…

Read more »

artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Investing Articles

Where on earth will Nvidia stock be in 1 year?

Nvidia stock has been rising lately in anticipation of the firm's first-quarter earnings. Could it be trading even higher in…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Rolls-Royce’s share price still looks around 50% undervalued to me at £4.33

Rolls-Royce’s share price looks set for strong growth as it joins the elite ‘investment grade’ of global firms, with a…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Dividend Shares

18% per annum: is this dividend stock too good to turn down?

Jon Smith scratches his head over a dividend stock that has a very high yield, but appears to be that…

Read more »